The strength of the pound and its effects on exchange rates
Posted in Uncategorized on March 14th, 2009 by – Be the first to commentIt is more than likely the largest single factor that will affect demand for the pound is the economic health of the United Kingdom or how the market is expecting the United Kingdom economy to fare in the future.
Sterling is what is known as a free floating currency, so its exchange rate or its price in relation to another currency is determined purely by supply and demand. Simply put, the more the pound is in demand internationally then the stronger its exchange rate is.
Investors are likely to move finances away from weakening economies. The worsening of expectations for the UK economy during 2008 goes a long way to make clear sterling’s sharp decline.
Looking at exchange rates and its affect by the strength of the pound. A higher interest rate will mean you will get a far better return on bonds and other Government securities, therefore this in turn will tend to attract financial capital from abroad. If currency markets expect the UK base rate to fall, the pound as a knock on effect will tend to weaken.
A currency is likely to weaken in order to correct a large trade deficit, which is unsustainable in the long-run, therefore making exports cheaper and imports much more expensive.
One of the most immediate effects that this has on most families is an increase in the cost of travelling overseas. As a pound buys less of a foreign currency, hotels abroad, goods and services will become much costlier.
This also means that imported goods to the United Kingdom in turn will become more expensive to consumers and to businesses that import raw materials or components as part of their production process. Meanwhile exporters who price their goods in sterling will benefit as their goods will become cheaper in overseas markets